Also meanwhile…Out there in MSM world, where reality creates its own definition, WMUR is reporting that all is fine in New Hampshire:
Well, they’re sort of correct. “Voting” problems aren’t the concern. As we frequently point out, the voters are still doing fine. Leave them alone. The election problems, and the horrible administration thereof, are another matter entirely. And on that front, loads of problems have been “found.” But only if you bother to look at them, of course.
Given WMUR’s following quote from NH Sec. of State Bill Gardner, which is demonstrably wrong in 3 seconds time if you bother to look at the SoS’s very own web page for hand count results, it’s not a surprise that WMUR thinks everything is just rosy:
That is what we in the business of actual reporting would call: a lie. Check the numbers for yourself. Yeah, it’s technical true that “a lot of the votes were exactly the same,” as Gardner says, in the same way that a lot of the troops who go to Iraq don’t get killed.
But many more vote counts were not at all the same, ranging anywhere from 5 to 8 votes off in regular cases, across almost all candidates.
And before you say that’s no big deal, we’ll remind you that in 2004, had just 6 votes per precinct been registered in Ohio for John Kerry instead of George W. Bush, we’d have a different person sitting in the White House right now.
Other than that, and the fact that Gardner has no idea where the memory cards are for his Diebold machines, and all other matter of horrible election oversight, yeah, everything’s just fine in New Hampshire.
…CONTACT…
WMUR Newsroom contact page
so whats the odds of this? edwards, clinton and obama are each down exactly -12 votes in NH
Check my math…. they each lose and gain votes in different places but so far their all
at -12 weird
http://www.sos.nh.gov/recountresults.htm
Obama
1309 1308
1614 1616
370 373
792 795
503 502
908 908
637 636
458 459
519 524
404 365
587 590
421 421
588 587
488 485
509 511
435 438
487 492
1954 1960
1052 1052
416 417
14451 14439 -12
Clinton
970 963
1630 1630
342 343
683 683
674 677
1026 1030
930 935
551 558
696 702
683 619
875 880
753 755
950 951
899 902
867 877
622 622
732 737
2325 2328
1092 1094
683 685
17983 17971 -12
Edwards
424 427
529 530
158 161
327 327
295 297
324 327
322 324
165 165
237 237
255 217
348 350
270 272
354 354
335 335
299 303
173 173
244 244
853 856
496 497
164 164
6572 6560 -12
Have you guys seen this yet?
http://bravenewfilms.org/blog/2...-system?play=1
If the numbers here are a representative sample of the recount of the machine counted votes, this is amazing. One would expect 1-2% of the totals to not match up – not 90%!!! What are these machines – slot machines?
There’s something very odd in Manchester Ward 5:
Clinton683 619
Edwards
255 217
Kucinich
23 20
Obama
404 365
Richardson
46 39
These candidates lost a total of 1411-1260 = 151 votes in the recount. None of the other candidates gained more than a few votes. So…where did the remaining ~151 votes go?
Also Bedford shows 184 votes for Richardson in the official tally, and “-” votes for him in the recount. This is odd, considering that they appear to have recounted the Bedford votes for all the other major candidates.
Somebody should let Markos and DHinMI over at DailyKOS know that they are proven complete fucking idiots on this one.
Hopefully they’ll shut the hell up now on recounts. I’m sure they’ll just claim all those miscounted votes don’t matter. True utilitarians.
mouse,
i noticed same on manchester 5
good catch on richardson in bedford
manchester/hillsbourgh have some strange coincidences too on the repub side(before recount even) hucklebee/guiliani tie exactly 3 dif times(precincts) on that countys report
the sos STILL doesnt have how many peops voted total posted not alone by precinct
it would be interesting to know the actual number of ballots before the machine stops bouncing round
Anonymouse
You did a “Diebold” :0
{Woops, BB2, I fixed the math for Anonymouse, so as to minimize confusion, before I saw yer cool comment… –99}
just put this on digg:
http://digg.com/politics/NH_gov...oting_problems
Comment #2, the BraveNewFilms video:
WHAT THE………….????????????????????????????
What’s that sound you hear? The media groaning as they are forced to wake up to this story (I hope).
Hi,
I am re-sending because I don’t recall for sure what I already sent and this is important.
Can’t get through to Bev. Bev can’t make Kucinich do 100% count. Just know that I did a student t test with a 72 degrees of freedom that demonstrates the machine set of data has promoted Clinton over Obama with a probability error of less than a tenth of a percent. Do the 100% count for democrats and you will prove votes were taken from Obama by the machines.
Don’t lose focus that one extra vote in each precinct would throw a close election to the other candidate.
There were 46 extra votes for the Manchester precinct (12 machines) alone. There are over 200 wards (257 units?). More of the recount must be completed to prove vote flipping, but my student t analysis with a sample size 37 showed the effect for machine counts over hand counts exists and this has a probability of 99.9 percent.
.
Mark Crispin Miller says the same idea here:
http://www.opednews.com/article...pect_from_.htm
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Sunday’s work:
The New Hampshire presidential primary is a watershed for the Election Integrity community, Pre-election polling is often fairly accurate. Exit polling is very accurate. Worldwide, exit polling is accurate to a tenth of one percent of elections everywhere except the United States.
An aggregate of pollsters gave Obama 38.3 % of the vote and Clinton 30.0%. over the period of January 5-6. See Table 1. Zogby gave Obama 42% and Clinton 29% on January 7, 2008.
In case you missed it, exit polling for the Tuesday, January 8, 2008 presidential primary in New Hampshire reported on TV projected 42% of the vote for Obama and 29% to Clinton as late in the day as 4 pm.
By 10 pm or so, the AP network was the first to project Clinton the winner with 39% of the vote and Obama second with 36% of the vote. In other words, the exit poles appear to have been wrong.
There are other possible scenarios. Lets wait for the facts to come in. Both A Democrat and a Republican candidate have called for recounts by the Friday, January 11 deadline. New Hampshire specifies a hand recount of the ballots which will begin on Monday, January 16. The costs will be based on recount costs including State Highway patrol transport of the ballots from clerk’s offices to the recount location.
It is true that about half of the wards (precincts), representing about 20% of the ballots, were hand counted initially and the remainder, or about 80 % of the ballots, were counted by the Diebold Accuvote machine which is of an optical scan design.
My analysis of the Secretary of State’s posting of election results follows. A student t analysis was conducted to compare two samples to test whether hand count results differed from machine count results by chance alone. If the resulting probability of the test is small, then one can assume that the difference is not due to chance alone.
For my study I chose the ratio of Clinton to Obama votes as the parameter to measure. If the ratio is greater than one, then a Clinton win is favored and if the ratio is less than one, Obama is favored.
For the first sample (hand counts) 37 wards were posted to be compared to a sample of 37 wards which were machine counted. The results appear as figure 3.
The mean of the hand count was 0.882 (favoring Obama) and had a standard deviation of 0.254.
The mean of the machine count was 1.15 (favoring Clinton) and had a standard deviation of 0.387.
The probability result was 0.0012 that the student t test was in error. Clearly the difference between the hand count sample and the machine count sample was not due to chance alone. The reason for the difference remains to be satisfactorily explained.
(can forward attachments if you wish)
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Thursday’s work:
ere are early results for the hand recount of the New Hampshire Presidential Election
The 2008 New Hampshire Presidential Election contains an unexplained story. Early media projections predicted an Obama win (42%) over Clinton (29%). As late as 4 pm media were reporting that the election race was reflected by the pole projections.
The truth is that media paid for exit pole data which was available only to the press and academic insitutions. While election projections are usually a good indicator of outcome, exit poles are accurate to within a tenth of a percent. That is, everywhere in the world, excpt the United Sttes. It is now known that exit poles actually showed a very close race between Clinton and Obama all day .
Both a Democrat (Kucinich) and a Republican (Albert Howard) requestd recounts. The hand recount of all ballots cast has been undertaken in Concord, New Hampshire state capitol, in the Archival building. State police will bring ballots from local Clerks’ offices.
The projected cost of the recount has been set at 24 cents per ballot, but cost overage will be billed back to the requestors. Six teams operate in parallel and the procedure is video taped. Just like in the movie “Hacking Democracy.”
Manchester is a 12- ward unit comprised of 12 Diebold optical scanners. Statewide, the scanners count about 80% of the ballots and the remainder are hand counted. All of the machines used in the State are of the same Accuvote version and are serviced by a single Company (LHS). Data is collected by phone calls for the Secretary of State’s office and hand tabulated into a spread sheet.
Not all the data collected in the first day is shown here: nor is all the data recounted for the two candidates reported here. Some data for the 5th and 7th wards has not yet been recounted. Turn to the attached table.
Column C shows the reported count for Clinton followed by recount Column E. One expects the numbers to match exactly, but they differ by 46 votes. Clearly the Accuvote machine performs this task poorly.
Column G shows the reported count for Obama followed by recount column I. Again one expects the numbers to match exactly, but they differ by 4 ballots. This is not an acceptable performance level for counting ballots in any elecion. And this is only the first peak at incomplete data on day one of the recount.
The electronic voting machines appear to be inadequate for the job but any assessment should be whthheld until the completion of the recount. The ward level (precinct) hand count of ballots is necessary to assure transpareny when electronic machines are used to count ballots.
(Graphic attachment if you want it)
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The evidence is just what you would expect for a stolen election.
you guys are going overboard. from today’s union leader:
so, it wasn’t machine error but tabulation error on the part of the ward 5 poll checkers who on election night added the votes of the vp choices to the presidential choices. i really think you should tone it down a notch and wait until everything is recounted … and then say something. otherwise, you are just getting everyone into a tizzy, wrongly, i might add.
{EdNote: Notice to “None”… Please read the commenting rules. –99}
COMMENT #13 None said on 1/18/2008 @ 7:15 am PT
NOTICE TO ALL IDIOTS:
(snipped for brevity)
http://www.sos.nh.gov/recountresults.htm
Nearly every machine counted vote compared to a hand counted vote is different. I don’t care if it’s ONE VOTE, it’s wrong. Electronic vote tabulation devices have FAILED AGAIN, and why shouldn’t folks voice their opinion.
We are all free to ignore your opinion to “SHUT IT.”
Only an idiot would *not care* about failed unverifiable electronic vote tabulation devices!
New Hampshire is a small state with great pride and tradition that it goes first in the primaries. This gives it an enormous amount of power in culling out candidates…unjustly? If they can’t do a better job than this, then they don’t deserve to go first. Maybe it’s time to start thinking about how to apportion the 2012 primaries. Let the states compete with each other to provide the most open, secure, fair, registration and voting. Those who get it right, and on time, get to go first, or be in a lottery to go first. I’m tired of this.
Phil #14,
“Nearly every machine counted vote compared to a hand counted vote is different. I don’t care if it’s ONE VOTE, it’s wrong. Electronic vote tabulation devices have FAILED AGAIN, and why shouldn’t folks voice their opinion.”
Sorry Phil, but you argument fails.
First, your claim that “nearly every machine” count is different is bogus. IF you actually look at the totals, it is the other way around. The majority of the counts are the same.
Second, your argument is based on two false assumptions.
1) You have seem to forgotten that ballots that “spoiled” by VOTER ERROR have been added back into the totals. That alone will change a number of votes.
2) You have ignored the fact that hand counts also have a margin of error. As an Accountant, who has been a part of conducting several store inventories, I have seen first hand how several groups of counters can come back with several different totals for the same item. As the number of items go up, the more likely they will the numbers will not agree.
Further, there is NO SUCH THING as a prefect election. It will NEVER happen. The best that we can hope for is a paper trail that we can double check.
In this case, the process is working just as it should. There was a vote WITH PAPER BALLOTS, there were questions on why was the vote so different from the exit polls. The hand count shows the same winner as did the machine count. No “vote swapping”, no “hacking” of the counting machines to change the outcome of the election.
ML Cook,
If you read Phil’s post carefully, I think you’ll see that he’s in your camp and that you’re addressing the wrong person.
Even 1 irregularity should be looked at as extremely suspicious. I do not understand how people can be content with the results of this election. I have been taking tests in school on bubble sheets and scan trons for over a decade and have never had a problem with false positives.
Why are optical scanners that are used for voting purposes more problematic than non official use optical scanners?
I also do not understand how the vote total actually decreased. Were people allowed to handle their ballot after scanning? In Minnesota, our system sends the scanned document directly into a ballot safe, unless there is a problem with the ballot. In our elections, there are also volunteer election officials present for both sides to prevent fraud.