Presidential Election Still Imperiled by Power Outages in 6+ States Where E-Voting is Forced

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[This article was cross-published by Salon.]

With just 5 days to go until the nation holds its next Presidential Election, power remains out in large swaths of the Eastern Seaboard, according to Google Maps’ special Hurricane Sandy power outage map.

The outages persist in a number of states which force the majority of their voters to use 100% unverifiable electronic voting machines to cast their votes at the polls on Election Day. If power is out at the polling place on Election Day in those states, voters may not be able to cast their vote at all.

As we warned before Sandy barreled ashore earlier this week, the ability of voters to vote at all — presuming polling places are not flooded and voters are able to get to them — is imperiled by states such as Virginia, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey, North Carolina and even Ohio, all of which force all, or some of their voters to vote on systems which simply do not work if they do not have power.

While most of those states require a small percentage of emergency paper ballots be made available at the precincts, that number is unlikely to be enough in the event that voting machines are unavailable all day at the polls on November 6th. Moreover, battery backups on the electronic touch-screen systems are unreliable at best and, even when working, can only be counted on for a small number of hours.

In Pennsylvania, for example, as noted yesterday by the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, “In case of power loss, local election officials are encouraged to keep enough paper ballots on hand for 20 and 25 percent of their registered voters.”

While the PA Dept. of State claimed in the same report that voting machines can run on backup batteries “about six hours,” a Lehigh County, PA election official offers a more realistic assessment, noting their touch-screen system backup batteries last just 2 and a half hours at best.

The BRAD BLOG has long warned that power loss on Election Day is just another, among a myriad of reasons why forcing voters to use such systems is insane and extraordinarily disrespectful to the electorate in such jurisdictions. Other reasons why these type of voting systems should never be used: They are 100% unverifiable in every case (whether they include a so-called “Voter Verifiable Paper Audit Trail” or not, as some do) and computer scientists and security experts have long warned, in virtually every instance where these type of systems have been examined over the past decade, that they are both prone to failure and easily manipulated, by both election insiders and hackers alike, in ways that are unlikely to ever be detected.

At The Nation today, Ari Berman notes that “Thanks to a wave of new voting restrictions passed by Republicans, the 2012 election was already shaping up to be pretty chaotic before the arrival of Hurricane Sandy, which left 8.2 million households without power in 15 states and the District of Columbia.”

He then goes on to detail some of the worst hotspots for concern…

“As of Wednesday, power outages were the most severe in New Jersey (2.4 million homes and businesses without power), New York (1.9 million) and Pennsylvania (1.2 million),” Berman reports. While almost the entirety of both NJ and PA force voters to use electronic voting systems on Election Day, NY at least allows voters to cast their vote on paper ballots. Though those paper ballots are tallied on electronic systems which routinely fail to tabulate votes accurately (see thousands of votes completely lost on NY’s brand new optical-scan systems in 2010, and losing candidates named as “winners” by Palm Beach County, FL earlier this year after their paper ballot op-scan systems declared incorrect results in three different races), at least voters will be able to vote if polling locations are open and voters can get to them next Tuesday.

If optical-scan systems at the precinct are unavailable due to outage in NY jurisdictions, those ballots can be tabulated later (presuming the secure chain of custody is up to snuff) either on central optical-scanners at county headquarters or, better yet, transparently and publicly by hand.

Berman notes that Washington Post is reporting that PA officials “said that getting all the polls open in all sixty-seven counties on Election Day may be problematic. About 1.2 million customers in Pennsylvania lost power in the storm, and utilities warned that full restoration might be more than a week away. All of the nine counties with the bulk of the power losses went for Obama in 2008.”

Our own missives to Philadelphia’s election chief Stephanie Singer have gone unanswered over the past several days. She is usually quite responsive, so we suspect she’s struggling at this point to figure out how to ensure polls are opened and that voters get to vote. In the City of Brotherly Love voters are forced to vote on 100% unverifiable electronic touch-screen systems on Election Day, unless the systems are unavailable. Whether there will be enough emergency paper ballots, however, for all voters in such case, is another issue entirely.

(Also, see this, for still more concerns about voting in the Keystone State in the wake of Sandy.)

“Nine Virginia communities—including several in Northern Virginia that were key to President Obama’s victory in the commonwealth in 2008—remained closed for in-person absentee voting Tuesday in the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy,” the Post also reports. Virginia also forces almost all of its voters to use electronic touch-screen systems on Election Day.

Many have asked about whether Election Day can be postponed, given the disaster. That question is not an easy one to answer. Slate’s L.V. Anderson attempted to answer that question before the storm hit. Essentially, it would be difficult, both legally and politically. While the date of Election Day is set by federal law — so Congress would have to reconvene to change the law for the entire nation — states have some latitude as far as when they must complete the process of selecting their electors before the Electoral College meets in mid-December. Changing the date of the election in parts of the country, but not others, however, would be fraught with all sorts of political and legal peril and controversy.

While nobody can predict the devastation of natural disasters like Superstorm Sandy, and whether such storms might make polling places inaccessible or difficult for voters to reach, they can predict that power outages on Election Day will keep voters from being able to cast their vote at all if electronic systems are the only option allowed for voters. That so many states still continue to do so is shameful and should outrage every American, not to mention those which are forced to use such systems.

That part of the problem was perfectly predictable. Indeed, we have been warning about it at The BRAD BLOG for many years. That elected officials and election officials have chosen to do nothing about it for so many years, preferring to play with fire instead, while treating their voters with extraordinary disrespect, is just another cause for demanding that lawmakers bar such systems for use in American elections.

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6 Comments on “Presidential Election Still Imperiled by Power Outages in 6+ States Where E-Voting is Forced

  1. I’ve read it. I’m not particularly convinced by it, Carolab. I haven’t had time to write about it, but I did speak about some of my reasons on several radio shows, including last Tuesday on the Mike Malloy Show. Here’s the segment of the show where I discussed it with a caller who called in, one of the authors of the study, apparently, to talk about it.

    The MP3 of the call is about 5 minutes:
    https://bradblog.com/audio/MikeMalloy_BradFriedman_GuestHost_103012_RomneyRigStatisticalAnalysis.mp3

  2. Brad, re your comments on the audio segment you present:

    I respectfully suggest you BECOME a statistician, if necessary. (It’s hardly beyond you.) See link at end of this comment.

    The only “cold hard proof” (which you admirably require) that your well-established fact of electronic voting systems’ hack-ability can be manipulated to compromise elections, is analysis of this sort.

    Continued revelation of all the other conceivable shortcomings of electronic voting only skirt the periphery of the issue. For example, the problem of short lived back-up voting machine batteries is obviated by having several batteries (or claiming there are several.) Further, any number of meteorological effects could prevent voters from getting to polls even if all-paper voting were in use. (See, however, Oregon’s 3-week window to vote by mail. Ballots still counted and transmitted to Secretary of State electronically.)

    You are not sure of the mechanisms of manipulation. Again, this type of analysis is the most obvious way to reveal them. Of course, once one knows, and is called to testify, one must prepare to be rubbed out.

    (( “In Ohio, GOP consultant Michael Connell claimed that the vote count computer program he had created for the state had a trap door that shifted Democratic votes to the GOP.

    He was subpoenaed as a witness in a lawsuit against then-Secretary of State Ken Blackwell, and lawyers for the plaintiff asked the Dept. of Justice to provide him with security because there were two threats made against Connell’s life by people associated with Karl Rove. But in Dec. 2008, before the trial began, Connell was killed in a plane crash outside Akron Ohio.” http://tinyurl.com/9qcsoxz ))

    Try: http://ocw.mit.edu/courses/mathematics/

  3. Some precincts without power are considering bringing generators in to power the voting machines. As a computer engineer, I see some potential folly in this that most others may not know about.

    Specifically, cheap generators and inverters do not often generate “clean” electricity. “Clean” electricity will look mostly like a sine wave at 60 Hz and 120 Vrms. In contrast, generators and inverters with cheap (or no) filtering will create electricity that looks more like a square wave, and may or may not be sufficiently close to 60 Hz 120 Vrms.

    A striking example can sometimes be demonstrated by anyone with a touchpad on their laptop. Power the laptop (without battery) by a cheap inverter and there’s a good chance the touch pad will begin to malfunction.

  4. Brad, as I was typing in the chat room during that show– it makes absolute sense to me that larger precincts would be chosen as targets. More voters, more votes. And, the fewer the precincts chosen, the less “in the know”. Why bother with smaller precincts, where the gain would be relatively small in impact?

    I agree largely with Puma, although I’m not sure it’s necessary to take a statistics course. To me, it’s just common sense that larger precincts would be the targets. This actually supports the thesis, rather than weakening it.

  5. p.s. I just sent you an email, Brad, expanding on my thoughts. Hope you have time to read.

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