New Nationwide Study of Election Fraud Since 2000 Finds Just 10 Cases of In-Person Voter Fraud

Of course, we’ve been spending the better part of the last ten years making the exact same case, so none of this should come as a surprise to long-time readers of The BRAD BLOG. But now a major new nationwide analysis by News21 of all known cases of election fraud in the U.S. since 2000 underscores our years of accurate and detailed reporting once again…

10 cases. 10 cases of in-person voter impersonation that might have been deterred by polling place Photo ID restrictions out of hundreds of millions of votes cast in all 50 states since 2000 — restrictions which, according to study after study, could keep as many as 21 million perfectly legal eligible voters from being able to cast their legal vote.

But, again, the Republicans who have been enacting these laws are doing it for exactly that reason: to keep those who are most likely to lack the type of state-issued Photo ID required to vote under these new restrictions — the elderly, minorities, the poor and students (read: Democratic-leaning voters) — from being able to cast their legal vote.

For those in the corporate mainstream media still unaware of what this is called (this includes you, NPR), it’s called Voter Suppression.

And this exhaustive new study, once again, makes that case crystal clear…

The ‘voter fraud’ fraud

There is much to take from the new analysis, including a searchable database of all known election fraud cases in the country since 2000, detailing the type of fraud involved.

Here are a few highlights from the study by News21, a program of the Carnegie Corporation and the John S. and James L. Knight Foundation, headquartered at the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication at Arizona State University.

In-person impersonation fraud — the only type of voter fraud that can even possibly be deterred by polling place Photo ID restrictions — is incredibly rare, and the least likely way to commit voter fraud.

According to the study, of the few cases of voter fraud across the nation since 2000, “fewer than five tenths of one percent of the total cases in the News21 analysis are voter impersonation.”

Absentee ballot voter fraud

Where voter fraud is a problem, it’s almost always done by Absentee Voting. “This is one of the most frequent instances of fraud,” the News21 analysis finds [emphasis ours]:

We have long argued against the push for absentee voting and/or Vote-by-Mail that both of the major political parties continue to advocate for, since it allows them to micromanage their own voters to increase turnout, etc. Unfortunately, it makes it makes it much harder for the citizenry to oversee the accurate tabulation of those votes, and also creates striking additional security concerns. Such as it is, however, this report underscores again that where actual voter fraud is a concern in this country, it is by and large via absentee voting that it is accomplished. Republican polling place Photo ID restrictions, however — passed under the guise of deterring “voter fraud” — do absolutely nothing about adding security for absentee votes.

Moreover, voting by felons and noncitizens, which is rare, but frequently done accidentally when it occurs — since the laws for felon voting are different in each state, and noncitizens are occasionally handed voter registration forms when obtaining driver’s licenses — is also not curbed by polling place Photo ID restrictions, since both former felons and non-citizens are usually allowed to obtain state-issued driver’s licenses that can then be used for voting purposes.

Insider fraud

As we have also asserted for many years, where election fraud occurs, it is usually not regular old voters who do it — since the risks of huge fines and long prison sentences make the risk of casting one illegal vote incredibly stupid and virtually worthless. Rather, it is election insiders and campaign officials who are most likely to carry out coordinated schemes to defraud elections. The analysis by News21 “shows 185 election fraud cases linked to campaign officials or politicians involving absentee or mail-in ballots.”

Furthermore, the ability to commit fraud via absentee ballot is also much greater than the very risky notion of in-person impersonation, since, as John Fortier of the Bipartisan Policy Center notes in the News21 study, “the person casting the ballot can be pressured or coerced.”

Again, the GOP polling place Photo ID restrictions being enacted around the country — even if we were to pretend they have anything to do with deterring voter fraud (and they do not) — do absolutely nothing to actual deter fraud and vote buying and selling via absentee ballot. That is no accident. These laws have nothing to do with deterring fraud and everything to do with enhancing the suppression of legal voters.

Republican National Lawyers Association fraud

One last point. We first began covering the voter suppression beat, in earnest, shortly after the 2004 election when we were the first to identify a high-level Republican astroturf group calling themselves the “non-partisan” American Center for Voting Rights (ACVR), as operatives of the Bush White House and the RNC. Specifically, the ACVR was headed up by a man named Thor Hearne who had served as the General Counsel for Bush/Cheney ’04, Inc., and as a star of the Republican National Lawyers Association (RNLA), before pretending to become a “long time voting rights advocate.”

The job of the ACVR was to create blatant propaganda to help make the case for the polling place Photo ID restriction we are now seeing in many states. After the ACVR was outed as a GOP voter suppression scam organization, and forced to disband, the RNLA took up much of the slack in creating false “voter fraud” propaganda for incurious wingnuts and Fox “News” fans to eat up.

Often, when Rightwingers are forced to offer evidence for their unsubstantiated claims of “massive Democratic voter fraud”, they’ll point to the page set up by the RNLA to detail such allegations, even though, if one bothers to read it, it does not contain what it pretends to contain.

That page, you’ll be shocked to learn, was also found to be a fraud by the News21 analysis:

So, in short, the page created by the RNLA to help push for polling place Photo ID restrictions, offers absolutely no evidence of the type of fraud that might be deterred by polling place Photo ID restrictions.

Who coulda guessed it? Oh, yeah. Us. For years.

So we have yet another study, officially finding what we have known, and argued here for years. But it’s good to have still more independent corroboration, and the wide breadth of this study, and its very helpful searchable database, are certainly most welcome.

Read the entire News21 analysis here, as it offers much more that we didn’t mention, because so many of the points were specifics that we have covered months, and often years ago, in great detail here at The BRAD BLOG.